Alpha opens: alphas on the site and on the Terminal chart

alpha.trevms.com is back as an open section for alphas: conditions after which an event happens noticeably more often than usual. In Terminal alphas are a toggle above the chart.

• Every alpha is defined by a condition, a target and a horizon, and is published only if it beats the base rate by at least 5 pp out of sample.
• The catalog is open to everyone: target, horizon, sample size and edge strength. The exact condition, rates and fires are for Alpha subscribers.
• On the Terminal chart a fire is marked on its bar, the expected return zone runs to the end of the horizon, and a card beside it compares the hit rate with the base rate.
• The first alphas are in validation; until then the section shows the format on clearly marked examples.